|Posted by Timothy Richardson on July 20, 2014 at 10:25 AM|
What is in the MODEL FORECAST:
Nothing in the tropics is expected over the next 7 days as all the models show nothing developing except the CMC model shows some small develpment from a spin in the ITZ. It is only brief until it hits higher shear and goes poof.....gone! Models do show Shear easing some in the Central Atlantic, but continues higher shear in the Caribbean. SHEAR is just to strong....NOTHING can develop. Until the Shear drops to below 20kts NOTHING will develop.
Areas of Interest (AOI) from the National Hurricane Center
This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.
2014 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred
TampaSpins Blog with
The blog section will have less graphics about each storm but, all will be referenced to the Tropical Weather Tab for more graphics.
Below are some links you might like for helping your own analysis:
USE my TAB at the top called TROPICAL MODELS to get pop ups views of all the MAJOR MODELS used!
Look at this This is my Favorite LOOP! It is my favorite for viewing the Tropics.
Sea Surface Temperatures or SST's 80 degrees Fer.
or 26.5 degrees Celcius is the Temperature needed for Tropical Development Normally!
Right click and open a new window to Loop!
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kts storms
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kts storms
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kts storms
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122kts storms
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122kts and larger storms
SAHARAN AIR LAYER
Data provided by National Data Buoy Center
Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THRU NOVEMBER 30th!
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Categories: TROPICAL WEATHER THREAT BLOG