|Posted by Timothy Richardson on May 31, 2015 at 7:30 AM|
What is in the MODEL FORECAST:
The GFS and CMC MODELS are showing a system devloping coming out of the Carribean and moving over Cuba into the Bahamas. The CMC MODEL is very aggressive in showing a very strong Hurricane developing and moving toward the Carolina's! If you look at the MJO uplift forecast it shows a strong moisture surge this same time as well. Something we have to watch for sure. The EURO and Navy model hint at something, but currently show nothing developing!
Areas of Interest (AOI) from the National Hurricane Center
This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.
2015 Named Storms:
Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny, Erika, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida, Joaquin, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor, Wanda
TampaSpins Blog with
The blog section will have less graphics about each storm but, all will be referenced to the Tropical Weather Tab for more graphics.
Below are some links you might like for helping your own analysis:
USE my TAB at the top called TROPICAL MODELS to get pop ups views of all the MAJOR MODELS used or simply click the graphics below to get the most current Model Runs!
Look at this This is my Favorite LOOP! It is my favorite for viewing the Tropics.
Sea Surface Temperatures or SST's 80 degrees Fer.
or 26.5 degrees Celcius is the Temperature needed for Tropical Development Normally!
Right click and open a new window to Loop!
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kts storms
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kts storms
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kts storms
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122kts storms
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122kts and larger storms
SAHARAN AIR LAYER
Data provided by National Data Buoy Center
Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THRU NOVEMBER 30th!
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