TAMPASPINS BLOG

Tropical 10 days are quite!

Posted by Timothy Richardson on May 18, 2015 at 10:35 AM

visitor statsTampaSpins TROPICAL WEATHER ANALYSIS


What is in the MODEL FORECAST:

Models are VERY quite with nothing on the models for the next 10 days!  Shear continues to be high with rather high pressure in place in the Tropics! 


THANKS,

Tim


Areas of Interest (AOI) from the National Hurricane Center



This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.

Tropical Weather Outlook (en Español*)

Tropical Weather Discussion


 




 


2015 Named Storms:

Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny, Erika, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida, Joaquin, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor, Wanda  

 

 

TampaSpins Blog with

Graphic Analysis:

The blog section will have less graphics about each storm but, all will be referenced to the Tropical Weather Tab for more graphics.

Below are some links you might like for helping your own analysis:

USE my TAB at the top called TROPICAL MODELS to get pop ups views of all the MAJOR MODELS used or simply click the graphics below to get the most current Model Runs! 

Look at this This is my Favorite LOOP! It is my favorite for viewing the Tropics.

Cyclone phase evolution: Analyses & Forecasts

Right Click and Open a new Window!


MODEL ANALYSIS

GFS MODEL




ECMFW MODEL



CMC MODEL




NAVY MODEL

 

Sea Surface Temperatures or SST's 80 degrees Fer.

or 26.5 degrees Celcius is the Temperature needed for Tropical Development Normally!




Current Shear

Right click and open a new window to Loop!


 

Steering Layer 700-850mb or

1000mb pressure 45kts storms

Steering Layer 500-850mb or

990-999mb pressure 45-60kts storms

Steering Layer 400-850mb or

970-989mb/60-90kts storms

Steering Layer 300-850mb or

950-969mb pressure 90-112kts storms

Steering Layer 250-850mb or

940-949mb pressure 112-122kts storms

 

Steering Layer 200-700mb or

940mb pressure 122kts and larger storms

925mb Vorticity


850mb Vorticity

700mb Vorticity

500mb Vorticity

200mb Vorticity

Upper Divergence

Lower Convergence

SAHARAN AIR LAYER

Data provided by National Data Buoy Center

DART Buoys

NAM MODEL

Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THRU NOVEMBER 30th!

SINCE YOU ARE READING THIS YOU ARE A MEMBER! DON'T FORGET TO USE THE INSTANT MESSENGER AND SIGN IN. ITS A QUICK WAY TO SEE WHO IS ONLINE FOR INTERACTION WITH OTHERS!

 

I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.

Thank you all for visting my Blog,

Tim...

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Categories: MAY 2015

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2 Comments

Reply Timothy Richardson
9:51 AM on May 22, 2015 
Models are still showing nothing developing in the Tropics for the next 10 days!
Reply Timothy Richardson
9:11 AM on May 19, 2015 
Nothing new today in the tropics! Have a great day all.