|Posted by Timothy Richardson on October 2, 2014 at 1:20 AM|
What is in the MODEL FORECAST:
Models currently are not showing anything of major concern over the next 5 days! However the GFS Model and NAVY Model show a Tropical wave moving from the Atlantic into the Caribbean in about 7 days. The GFS Model has been on and off developing this wave. There is a Cold front that will move very far south into the Gulf of Mexico and really shut down much of the Tropical Development chances for a while. Keep in mind that many Tropical systems develop on the tail ends of stalled cold fronts. Something to watch down the road, but again NOTHING to worry in the Tropics. The NHC does have Invest 97L and 98L.....I am not going to even post any graphics on these as they are completely of non interest and probably did not even warrent an Invest declared.
Areas of Interest (AOI) from the National Hurricane Center
This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.
2014 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred
TampaSpins Blog with
The blog section will have less graphics about each storm but, all will be referenced to the Tropical Weather Tab for more graphics.
Below are some links you might like for helping your own analysis:
USE my TAB at the top called TROPICAL MODELS to get pop ups views of all the MAJOR MODELS used or simply click the graphics below to get the most current Model Runs!
Look at this This is my Favorite LOOP! It is my favorite for viewing the Tropics.
Sea Surface Temperatures or SST's 80 degrees Fer.
or 26.5 degrees Celcius is the Temperature needed for Tropical Development Normally!
Right click and open a new window to Loop!
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kts storms
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kts storms
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kts storms
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122kts storms
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122kts and larger storms
SAHARAN AIR LAYER
Data provided by National Data Buoy Center
Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THRU NOVEMBER 30th!
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Categories: OCTOBER 2014